Hard Fork

‘Hard Fork’ Live, Part 3: Differing Visions of an A.I. Future

June 19, 2026·56 min·4-min readroundtabletechnology
Podzilla Summary (4 min)
TLDR
The episode features a nuanced debate between AI forecasters Daniel Kokotajlo and Sayash Kapoor on the pace of AI progress, with Kokotajlo predicting full automation of AI R&D by late 2028 and Kapoor arguing for slower, real-world bottlenecks that resemble past technological shifts. Despi

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Guest

D

Daniel Kokotajlo

roundtable on Hard Fork

Mentions

Books, people, and resources mentioned in this episode.

People

Daniel KokotajloSayash KapoorDwarkesh PatelGeorge EkasKevin RooseCasey Newton

Companies

Anthropic

Research & Papers

AI 2027AI as Normal Technology

Topics

Artificial IntelligenceDeep LearningLarge Language ModelsMachine LearningResearchTech Industry

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