Ori Eldarov (OffDeal): How to Build a Landscape Business Worth Selling (Or Keeping)

[00:01] - Introduction: Why This Conversation Matters Rob sets the stage: private equity is flooding the green industry, but the noise around buying and selling landscape businesses is full of misconceptions. Ori Eldarov - founder of OffDeal and former Wall Street investment banker - is here to cut through it. [01:11] - Ori's Origin Story: From Wall Street to Main Street Ori spent nearly a decade advising on billions of dollars in transactions at a top investment bank. During COVID, a quarter-life crisis led him to try to buy a small business. What he found shocked him: the caliber of advisory services available to small business owners was a fraction of what large companies received. That gap became the founding insight for OffDeal. [03:36] - Why Small Business M&A Is Broken (And What OffDeal Does Differently) Traditional investment banks can't make the economics work on smaller deals, so they become volume plays with lower-quality advisors. Ori's solution: bring in AI and software engineering to deliver Wall Street-level service to Main Street business owners. OffDeal went from 3 people to nearly 20 in under two years, advising dozens of owners on both successful and unsuccessful exits. [04:47] - How OffDeal Stumbled Into Landscaping A software company serving landscaping businesses approached OffDeal to build a custom AI tool for their clients. The tool generated massive inbound from landscape entrepreneurs wanting to understand their business value - and a dedicated landscaping M&A practice was born. [07:47] - The Scale Reality Check: How Few Landscape Businesses Are Actually Sellable Ori shares data that reframes the entire industry: 700,000 landscaping companies in the United States Only 100,000 have more than one employee Only 6,500 have more than 20 employees 99% of landscape businesses are subscale. Getting past $2M in revenue requires real systems - and most operators tap out there. The message: you're not alone, and it's genuinely hard. [11:08] - The Hawaii Test: The Best Litmus Test for Your Business "If you had to go to Hawaii for three months and throw your phone into the ocean, what would happen to your business?" The best-in-class answer: it continues to grow without you. The most common answer: the wheels come off the bus. This thought experiment instantly reveals your #1 rate-limiting factor - and Ori recommends physically stepping away from the business every quarter for at least a week to surface those fractures in real time. [13:47] - Mistake #1: Ignoring Service Mix When Building the Business The single biggest predictor of saleability is what services you offer and in what ratio. Investors have clear preferences - and if you build your business without considering them, you can accidentally cut your retirement by two-thirds. Maintenance-first businesses are king. Design/build is valuable to customers but significantly less attractive to buyers. [14:50] - Commercial Maintenance vs. Design/Build: What Buyers Actually Pay Off the 50 largest consolidators Ori's team interviewed: Some assign zero value to design/build revenue Others apply a 50% haircut to the multiple vs. maintenance work HOA commercial maintenance contracts are considered the most attractive of all [16:45] - The Mixed Revenue Problem: How a $10M Business Becomes Unsellable Ori describes a $10M landscaping company with a 50/50 residential-commercial mix. The business is essentially unsellable to institutional buyers - because no investor wants both exposures in one company. The most likely buyer? Another local entrepreneur. Lower price, lower deal certainty, less cash at close. [19:16] - Service Mix Is a Lever, Not a Life Sentence This isn't a mandate to pivot overnight - it's a directional signal. Understand what investors want, then gradually steer toward it. Operators don't need to consult a banker for this. ChatGPT or Claude can give a serviceable directional answer on what acquired landscape companies look like. [22:40] - What Shocked Ori After Talking to 50 Consolidators Two answers nobody expected: Labor documentation is non-negotiable. All 50 consolidators said every employee must be documented and have proper papers - full stop. Given the current regulatory environment, undocumented workers represent deal-killing risk. And it's not a quick fix, especially in markets like California where documented labor is scarce. Snow removal above 20% of revenue kills deals. All 50 had opinions on snow removal, but the consensus: more than 20% snow revenue introduces too much variability. Know the goalposts, and set a KPI to shift away from it over time. [26:02] - Why Private Equity Got Into Landscaping in the First Place Ori explains the "buy and build" playbook: acquire multiple smaller businesses at mid-single-digi