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On The Market: Daily Summaries Delivered
by BiggerPockets
The modern real estate investor doesn’t have time to research every headline and trend. That’s why Dave Meyer and his expert panel do it for you. Learn how to invest smarter in today’s economic environment.
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The most recent episodes — sign up to get AI-powered summaries of each one.
- Yesterday31 min
New Construction Falls to 5-Year Low as Price Floor Nears
This isn’t a “good” housing market for anyone. Affordability remains a major barrier to homeownership. Sellers aren’t getting what they want for their homes. Now, builders are signaling that the current housing shortage could get even worse. It’s bad news for aspiring homeowners, but could it finally put a floor on this housing market correction? This week’s headlines highlight how affordability challenges are reaching every corner of the housing market—not just for buyers. A perfect storm of high interest rates, stagnant home prices, and rising material and labor costs is putting builders under pressure, too. As a result, housing starts and single-family home completions have reached their lowest levels since 2020. But could this slowdown ultimately limit how far home prices can fall? At the same time, there are other factors keeping homes off the market—like a potential capital gains tax problem discouraging many baby boomers from listing their homes for sale. Meanwhile, house flippers are worried about another tax coming down the pipeline that could eat into even more of their profits. Everyone’s feeling the squeeze, but could these pressures causing the market to bend be the same forces that prevent it from breaking? In This Episode We Cover Why the single-family market correction may have just found its floor Why many homebuilders are building less amid a national housing shortage Whether we should raise the capital gains tax exclusion for homeowners A new tax that could cost house flippers even more of their margins Three issues that are potentially contributing to a stagnant housing market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Flippers Supplied 2x More Starter Homes Than Builders in 2025 Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile CRE Daily: US Housing Starts Slow, Giving Apartments Room to Recover AEI Housing Center: Capital Gains Rules on Home Sales and Senior Homeowner Lock In The Real Deal: “The math has stopped working”: NYC home flipping drops as state legislators propose new tax Grab The Book on Tax Strategies for the Savvy Real Estate Investor Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-446. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 6 days ago29 min
You Can Retire with Even Less (Only Using Real Estate)
The average American will not be able to retire. 50% are going into their golden years with less than $500,000—significantly short of what would even be considered a livable retirement amount. Social Security only has so long before payments begin to get cut, and retiring during a stock market crash, or even a correction, can put you at sizable risk of returning to work. But one asset can help you retire with less, reach retirement (or even early retirement) faster, and do so without putting your future freedom at risk—real estate. Today, Dave is going to prove why so many of his retirement plans sit on rental properties as a stable base, and how Americans can retire with up to 50% less using real estate, as opposed to stocks and bonds. This flips the entire retirement equation on its head. Now you don’t need to bet on the market, you don’t need to hope and pray Social Security will exist when it’s your turn to collect, and you don’t need to hit some sky-high ($4,000,000+) retirement number just to live a comfortable life. This is the faster, and arguably safer, formula for retirement in 2026 and beyond. In This Episode We Cover How to retire with far less using real estate cash flow (instead of selling stocks) How much you actually need to retire in the United States (inflation-adjusted) The real estate retirement framework that gives you better returns, more cash flow, and a simpler path Why 81% of Americans are at risk of never being able to comfortably, confidently retire The problem with building a cash flow-focused real estate portfolio too early (it will cost you) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area How Much Passive Income is Enough to Retire With? Schroders US Retirement Survey Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-445. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 1 weeks ago28 min
Zillow: $1,000/Month Cash Flow Exists in These Markets
Zillow is seeing “signs of life” emerging in the housing market. Strong demand, days pending hitting pre-pandemic levels, and serious cash flow in specific markets. How long will this last, and what happens when new construction completions fall off a cliff in the near future? Will rents and home prices reverse, going from stable (and even falling) to rising as demand outpaces supply even more? Orphe Divounguy, Zillow Senior Economist, is back to share the most up-to-date housing market data. Orphe brings good news—sales are increasing, demand is surprisingly strong, and a recovery (albeit fragile) for the housing market is underway. Some markets are seeing a drastic increase in sales; others are seeing almost unbelievably strong cash flow (Orphe is talking $1,000/month), so which markets are which? Finally, how long will this last? We keep talking about buyers getting discounts off of list price or serious seller concessions, but are we months or years away from this ending? With multifamily supply about to see a serious dropoff, the demand for housing (and rentals) could get even higher. Orphe breaks it all down! In This Episode We Cover The housing markets currently seeing strong cash flow even at list price (up to $1,000/month cash flow!) Markets with the most home sales and why they’re beating many other major metros Why rent and home prices could “firm” up once this happens in the housing market No escaping this housing supply shortage? The reason why flat/declining population won’t crash housing Sellers: How to price your home to get the highest (and quickest) sale (do not overprice) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 433 - New Data: U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Their Floor Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Learn More from Orphe’s Team Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-443. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 1 weeks ago34 min
You Won’t Believe Why Mortgage Rates Are Going Up (Again)
You won’t believe why mortgage rates are going back up. It’s not because of the war, it’s not because of gas prices, and it’s not because of the Federal Reserve. Something nobody is talking about is playing a much bigger role in mortgage rates than most Americans think. It’s making big corporations richer while the average American continues to struggle to buy a home. What is the hidden factor nobody’s talking about? Today, Dave is getting into it, unpacking not only the real reason why mortgage rates are heading back toward 7%, but the loaded week of housing market news. First, we’ll touch on mortgage rates and the two reasons why they’re shooting back up even after a surprisingly positive inflation report. Then, the historic housing bill that successfully became law and what it really says in the fine print (is Wall Street actually banned?). Finally, why rising student loan delinquencies could mean more renter demand and fewer home sales for millions of Americans. In This Episode We Cover The real reason why mortgage rates are going up even if inflation readings are falling What’s actually in the historic 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act? Wall Street’s “ban” on buying houses and what the fine print says Cracks forming in student loan repayments and how it could trickle down to housing (more renter demand?) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Hear Our Full Episode on the Historic Housing Bill Grab Dave’s Book, Start with Strategy Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-443. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 2 weeks ago29 min
2026 Housing Market Predictions: Seller Pain is Far From Over
The first half of the 2026 housing market is over, and now it’s time to answer the question everyone wants to know: What’s next? Will the market slow down even more and bring lower prices for patient buyers, or will a (surprisingly) resilient US economy finally give buyers what they’re looking for? We’re split. We’re disagreeing. And today, we’re giving our updated 2026 housing market predictions. A long, slow, painful housing market could be in store for some, while a “booming” environment could be coming for others—which one will it be for you? We’re breaking it down, based on your exact market, property type, and whether you’re buying, selling, or holding and waiting. One type of property James is warning you to actively avoid; Kathy is saying certain markets will bring huge benefits to those who buy in them early; and Dave sees bad signs for the American consumer, which could spill even more into the housing market. Get ahead of the housing market—these are our H2 2026 housing market predictions. In This Episode We Cover Why an even slower, more painful market could be in store for 2026 sellers The passive income play that Dave is doubling down on as rentals suffer Flipping a house? What James warns you to do so you don’t lose money on your sale The rental markets Kathy is currently eyeing to get deals before prices pop Sobering signs that American consumers are still far from ready to buy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 431 - The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-442. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 2 weeks ago42 min
Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing Cycle
Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing CyclePodcast Description If you ask the average American, AI is taking over, as are the headlines warning that it’s coming for our jobs. Open LinkedIn, and you’ll see stories about chatbots replacing employees, hiring freezes, and departments being downsized. But when you dig into the actual data, it’s murky at best. So, what’s really happening, and how should real estate investors prepare? On one hand, unemployment remains relatively low, and layoffs aren’t surging across the U.S.—not yet at least. In fact, many economists are still projecting positive job growth in the short term. On the other hand, you have growing concerns among what seems like most American workers. Fear about job displacement. Career uncertainty. The pressure to stay employable. Then there’s the trickle-down impact on the housing market. Rising unemployment affects the biggest renter demographic in the nation. Do real estate investors need to temper expectations for rental demand and rent growth for the foreseeable future? Does “conservative” investment analysis need to go to another level? We’re breaking it all down, plus much more, on today’s show. In This Episode We Cover What to make of “murky” data surrounding AI’s impact on the U.S. job market Why Americans are becoming increasingly worried about AI-caused layoffs (despite “positive” forecasting) Two ways that widespread adoption of AI could affect the housing market Why real estate investors should prepare for lower rental demand and rent growth Which real estate markets are the best long-term bets as AI reshapes the economy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Worried About AI? Here’s How Real Estate Is Changing Faster Than Ever Dave's BiggerPockets Profile World Economic Forum: The Future of Jobs Reports 2025 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Employment Situation Summary Mercer: Global Talent Trends 2026. Solving the Human-Machine Equation Resume Now: AI Disruption: 9 in 10 Workers Fear Job Loss to Automation Challenger, Gray, & Christmas: Challenger Report December 2025 CNBC: Satya Nadella Says as Much as 30% of Microsoft Code Is Written by AI McKinsey Global Institute: Agents, Robots, and Us: Skill Partnerships in the Age of AI National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): Firm Data on AI Buy the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-441. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 3 weeks ago42 min
Commercial Real Estate Is Quietly Setting Up for a Decade-Long Bull Run
We’ve officially reached the halfway point of 2026, and the housing market still feels…stuck. The economy is in limbo. Home prices haven’t tanked. And we aren’t seeing significant large multifamily distress...not yet at least. Is it just a matter of time before the other shoe finally drops, or is this market more resilient than we expected? Brian Burke is back to give his pulse check on the 2026 housing market. What has changed? Has anything changed? We’re breaking down some of the predictions we made earlier in the year, the biggest surprises from the last six months, and how we’re adjusting our expectations for 2027 and beyond. The truth is, this “boring” market is exactly the kind of environment that has made disciplined real estate investors very wealthy. Residential real estate values are holding steady, and commercial real estate could be set up for a 10-year bull run. So, is it a better time to buy than the headlines suggest—or will those holding out for a 2008-style housing crash be proven right? In This Episode We Cover Brian Burke’s mid-year pulse check on the 2026 housing market The 10-year commercial real estate bull run that could kick off in 2028 How to create long-term wealth with “smart” portfolio construction Why we haven’t seen significant large multifamily distress (yet) The three “types” of real estate syndication failure (and why they matter) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area BiggerPockets Real Estate 1293 – The Strongest Sign for the Housing Market in Years | June 2026 Update Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's BiggerPockets Profile The Hands-Off Investor PassivePockets Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-440. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
- 3 weeks ago30 min
The Data Is Lying: What Buyers Are Really Paying in 2026 (Less Than You Think)
We’ve all seen the data. Home prices are falling but remain relatively “flat,” year over year. There’s just one problem: the data is lying. We’re in a full-blown buyer’s market now, and what investors are actually paying for homes is much less than most people realize. Behind the scenes, buyers are negotiating thousands—even tens of thousands—of dollars in seller concessions that never show up in home sales data. Closing costs. Interest rate buydowns. Repair credits. Even cash. These concessions are quietly driving the real cost of homes much lower than the numbers suggest. In fact, nearly half of all home sales now include some kind of seller concession, and that’s on top of the price drops we’re seeing in many markets. How much are investors really saving? The amount is often capped based on the deal and the loan. But even these concession limits have workarounds. If you use this two-pronged strategy for negotiating asking price and concessions, you’ll have a clear path to saving 3%, 5%, or maybe even upward of 10% on your next deal. This is the kind of advantage that can make the numbers work, even in the toughest of markets. In This Episode We Cover Why the median home sale price isn’t what investors are actually paying in 2026 How to negotiate massive discounts on properties in most markets Two ways to get around the seller concession limits for investors The markets with the highest percentage of home sales with seller concessions A “balanced” strategy for scoring a lower purchase price and seller concessions And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area 11 Items You Can Negotiate in a Real Estate Deal Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Redfin: 46% of Home Sellers Gave Concessions to Buyers in May, the Highest Share on Record for That Month Redfin: America’s Housing Market Favors Buyers—But Their Advantage Is Starting to Shrink Grab the Book on Negotiating Real Estate Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-439. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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