
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tallies up the most recent polls, prediction market data and breaking news to make a determination on whether or not Abdul El-Sayad REALLY has a shot at becoming the United States Senator from Michigan. Then, an extremely unique edition of “Candidate Countdown!” should make a few waves with the audience. Plus, an in-depth look at the biases that can exist in the prediction market space and why they don’t really make an impact on the effectiveness of using market data to determine future probability.
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The Republican FREAK OUT Index

What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)

There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms

The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
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