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RiskReversal Pod: Daily Summaries Delivered
by RiskReversal Media
Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Latest Episodes
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- Today44 min
Bond Market Dominoes: The Path to 6% Rates with Peter Boockvar
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Dan Nathan and Peter Boockvar discuss why longer-term yields are rising globally, arguing the bond market is increasingly setting the cost of capital as investors push back on excessive debts and deficits, highlighted by France’s fiscal issues with spillovers across Europe and relevance to the U.S. They debate whether Fed rate hikes can address inflation tied to AI-driven data center construction and supply constraints, while noting hyperscalers may issue up to $500 billion of debt to fund massive CapEx. They review credit-market stress, including triple-C spreads above 1,000 bps and refinancing shocks versus 2021-era borrowing. The conversation shifts to AI agents, potential monetization, and disruption risks to search, e-commerce, and banking. They cover weak market breadth, elevated oil amid Middle East conflict dynamics, and preview key themes for upcoming bank earnings, including deposit costs, loan demand, and consumer resilience. Show Notes The Latest Viral AI Assistant Rocketing Across Silicon Valley (WSJ) SpaceX looks to raise $40bn to buy Nvidia chips (FT) AI agents could cost banks $500bn — by winning savers better rates (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 2 days ago49 min
Trading From The Short Side with Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel & Porter Collins
Go follow the 'What Are We Doing' Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ LIVE from the HOOD Summit in Houston: Dan Nathan hosts as the guys walk through the short seller's checklist: short interest, valuation, cost to borrow and, most importantly, a real catalyst. They explain why shorting is so much harder than it looks and how they manage risk by pressing into rallies and covering into weakness. Porter then morphed into a combination of Carter Worth and Steve Kornacki by pointing out technicals on the big screen while Vinnie and Danny argued about whether or not trading options is a decent alternative at times to trading stocks. Vinnie is right that most of the time the option market makers win (i.e. Ken Griffin). They hit a few single names like Fair Isaac (FICO), Carvana (CVNA), Tesla (TSLA), Upstart (UPST) Circle (CRCL) and Goldman Sachs (GS). They also discuss why owning gold as a way to express the debasement trade may beat trying to short the S&P 500. The session wraps with audience questions on meme stocks, stop losses and finding shorts in a market that only seems to go up. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 4 days ago28 min
Consumers Feel Awful But Keep Spending with Mastercard's Chief Economist Michelle Meyer
Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami welcomes back Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at Mastercard, to dig into what Mastercard's data is saying about the American consumer heading into the holiday season. With mortgage rates above 7% and sentiment surveys still gloomy, Michelle explains why spending keeps holding up. The answer is a healthy labor market, strong household balance sheets, and a K-shaped economy where upper-income households are spending faster but every income group is still growing. She breaks down Mastercard's forecast for 5.5% holiday spending growth (excluding autos and gas), the strongest in four years, and how much of that is real volume versus inflation. They also discuss why real wages are sitting right on the line and why diesel prices are worth watching. Michelle shares new research showing that AI power users shop across more merchants and start their holiday buying earlier. The conversation closes with what to watch in the labor market and a preview of Mastercard's 2027 outlook, coming in early December. Michelle's holiday forecast report is linked in the show notes. Show Notes Holiday 2026: AI assists and last-minute lists (MasterCard Economics Institute) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 1 weeks ago47 min
Record Highs, 5% Yields... Something Has To Give w/ “The Big Short” Crew & Robinhood’s Steph Guild
Live from the HOOD Summit in Houston, Guy & Dan sit down with Robinhood's Steph Guild, Porter Collins, Vincent Daniel to make sense of a market sitting near record highs despite a war, $95 oil and a 10-year yield pushing past 5%. The panel digs into horrific market breadth and the passive flows propping up a handful of mega-caps. They discuss why private credit may be the canary in the coal mine for the AI buildout, and whether Nvidia's lending to its own customers makes it look more like a bank than a chipmaker. They also cover the case for energy after years of underinvestment, opportunities in Latin America ahead of Brazil's election, the debasement trade in gold and Bitcoin, and whether AI will ultimately create or destroy jobs. The episode closes with audience questions on agent trading, cybersecurity risk and AI's impact on healthcare. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 1 weeks ago24 min
U.S. Bonds Are Trading Like an Emerging Market with Liz Thomas
Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss historic moves in U.S. Treasuries, with yields jumping 20 bps in two days, the 5-year above 5%, and the average Treasury yield above 5%, signaling a new inflationary regime and forcing investors to rethink allocations. Despite higher discount rates, stocks have held up due to a rotation back into mega-cap tech and AI-driven CapEx supporting GDP expectations, even as the bond market “story” looks ominous. Thomas outlines a “balance by extremes” approach—overweight AI/tech while holding 10-year Treasuries, gold, and commodities—and warns a prolonged war and $90+ oil could push the Fed into hikes that risk recession. They debate gold’s outlook amid technical pressure and reduced central-bank buying, and review banks rolling over as a flatter curve squeezes net interest margins and weaker deal-flow expectations pressure investment banks. They also flag midterm-election volatility, with healthcare favored, and note Tony Robbins appeared on “The Important Part.” —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 2 weeks ago1h 37m
Jim Chanos & Gary Marcus: Circular AI Financing, The Agentic Economy & Doomsday Scenarios
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE HERE Checkout Gary's Substack: https://garymarcus.substack.com/ Jim Chanos returns, this time with AI researcher/professor emeritus Gary Marcus. The two join Dan to discuss AI's build-out technology, economics, and risks. Marcus argues modern LLMs lack durable technical moats, remain unreliable and hallucination-prone, and are becoming commoditized, driving token price wars and challenging profitability for OpenAI/Anthropic; he favors neurosymbolic approaches and warns that “agent” systems are causing serious security incidents, saying OpenAI should be temporarily shut down or put into receivership until fixed. Chanos explains his bearish focus on data centers as capital-intensive, low-return “equipment leasing” businesses being marketed like REITs, with hyperscaler incremental returns declining and credit tightening. They compare the AI cycle to late-1990s TMT, discuss NVIDIA’s unique position versus its customers, highlight IPO/financing as a potential breaking point, and debate regulation, surveillance “dystopia,” and political risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 2 weeks ago39 min
The AI Trying to Replace Your Financial Advisor with Fahad Hassan and David Cusatis
Dan Nathan sits down with Fahad Hassan and David Cusatis, co-founders of Range, an AI-native wealth management platform that just crossed $1 billion in assets under management. Fahad and David built Range without any traditional finance background, starting from a simple frustration: the old 1% AUM model is expensive, opaque, and hasn't changed in 100 years. We get into Range's AI agent, Rye, which can execute backdoor Roth conversions over text message, and why the founders believe AI is already outperforming human financial advisors. Plus: a live demo of Meta's Muse booking a flight and ordering an Uber mid-dinner, why they think Salesforce and other legacy SaaS tools are becoming obsolete, how Range is regulated by the SEC, and why they think they can become "the JPMorgan of the next 100 years." Topics discussed: the founding story of Range, AI agents replacing financial advisors, Rye and backdoor Roth conversions, Meta's Muse in action, why legacy software (Salesforce, Notion) is under threat, SEC compliance and trust in AI, and Range's path to disrupting Schwab, Vanguard, and the wealth management industry. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 3 weeks ago53 min
Dan Niles: This Isn't the Top, It's a Speed Bump
Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management on the Risk Reversal podcast to discuss a rallying market amid a 5% 10-year yield, rising global rates, and negative September seasonality ahead of the midterms. Niles argues AI-driven data-center spending has powered 2024 returns, but warns of risks from Texas’s data-center moratorium, potential political pushback, comments by Altman, Anthropic’s Dario, and Musk about slowing AI, falling model pricing and profitability concerns, and possible compute-reducing architectural shifts; he cites early signs of spend shifting toward cheaper open-source models. They discuss how hiking cycles, deficits, and weak equity risk premium could pressure valuations and unwind carry trades, and compare today’s AI buildout to the dot-com era, where backlogs and circular financing can reverse quickly. Niles sees AI ultimately consolidating to a few winners, favors Anthropic in enterprise, expects Google to reassert leadership due to data and cloud acceleration, views Meta as a dark-horse beneficiary via consumer distribution, explains Microsoft’s advantage through its OpenAI stake and security-focused Copilot, and outlines a bullish 2025 view on Apple driven by a foldable-phone upgrade cycle despite near-term execution risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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About RiskReversal Pod
Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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