The Dividend Cafe

Unapologetic Energy Bull: Meet Me in the Middle

September 25, 2026·26 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4rwGwnT David Bahnsen hosts the Friday Dividend Cafe and explains he chose to focus on an energy investment theme rather than the week’s surge in bond yields. He argues investors and media overemphasize headlines about the Strait of Hormuz, Iran, and WTI prices, while the energy sector remains largely ignored due to its small S&P 500 weight (about 3.5% versus Apple at 7.4%, and midstream at 0.5%). He notes oil supply disruptions have been buffered by large inventory drawdowns, and that energy equities appear disconnected from oil’s move, with valuations running about 70% of their historical relationship to the broader market. He makes a bullish, longer-term case tied to AI-driven power needs and highlights midstream “2.0” fundamentals: rising domestic and global natural gas demand, expanding LNG export capacity, hard-to-permit pipelines with inflation-protected contracts, better governance, lower leverage, and strong distribution growth potential. 00:00 Welcome And Setup 01:07 Why Energy Is Ignored 05:03 Index Weighting Reality 08:49 Hormuz Supply Shock 11:55 Oil Versus Stocks Gap 14:08 AI Needs More Power 15:16 Valuation Case For Energy 17:14 Midstream Opportunity 18:24 Midstream PTSD And Comeback 19:51 Midstream 2.0 Tailwinds 22:20 Pipelines And Capital Discipline 25:15 Wrap Up And Takeaway Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

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