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The Real Investment Show Podcast: Daily Summaries Delivered
by Lance Roberts
It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.
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The most recent episodes — sign up to get AI-powered summaries of each one.
- Today43 min
7-29-26 Will the Fed Meeting Matter?
It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions from our YouTube Live chat while discussing one of the week's biggest market events: the Federal Reserve meeting. Will the Fed's latest decision change the market's direction, or is earnings season, inflation, and economic data driving the bigger story? We answer your questions on investing, portfolio management, retirement planning, market volatility, interest rates, AI stocks, and the economic headlines shaping investor decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - US/Iran Tit-for-tat, FOMC & Rates w No Forward Guidance 3:15 - Earnings Beat Rate at 83% 4:42 - Markets Languish Below 50-DMA 9:24 - Earnings Prelude 10:31 - What has raised living standards (defining "living standards") vs Happiness 15:40 - Social Media & comparisons to wrong benchmarks 17:26 - The Role of Moving Averages (and how we use them) 21:06 - Using Odd Moving Averages vs 20-, 50-, 100-DMA standards 22:10 - Buying Chinese Chip Stocks (or any International stocks)? 24:24 - Where to Find Earnings Estimates by Sectors 25:33 - Mag-7 performance, Microsoft, & Free Cash Flow 28:24 - Repatriation of Money to Japan? 29:36 - Will AI Improve Middle Class standards of Living? (Solo-preneurships) 32:44 - Should We Incentivize Young Couples to Have Children thru Tax Credits? 36:40 - Will Interest Rates & Inflation Continue to Move Up? 37:02 - Is GIS a Dividend Trap? 40:06 - Most pressing worry in current environment: What we don't know 40:33 - When Bear Sterns Collapsed... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, DAnny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?" https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #QAWednesday #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement
- Today3 min
7-29-26 Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens | Before the Bell
Markets remain trapped below key technical resistance, with the S&P 500 unable to reclaim its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. While money flows continue to soften and price action stays locked in a tightening consolidation pattern, market internals tell a different story. Lance Roberts shares why equal-weighted stocks are outperforming, why Mega-Cap technology and semiconductors are no longer carrying the market, and how improving market breadth is masking weakness in the headline indexes. We also discuss the seasonal challenges of August and September, what investors should watch for before adding risk, and why diversification becomes especially valuable during periods of market rotation. Rather than chasing headlines, successful investing often means recognizing when leadership is changing, maintaining discipline, and preparing to capitalize on opportunities when quality companies become temporarily mispriced. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting
- Yesterday49 min
7-28-26 Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?
Everyone says they're comfortable with investment risk—until markets actually decline. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss why true risk tolerance isn't measured during bull markets but during periods of fear and uncertainty. We explain the difference between financial capacity and emotional tolerance, why investors often overestimate the amount of volatility they can handle, and how emotional decisions can permanently damage long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Markets Building Downward Pressure 4:00 - Semi's in Momentum Trade 8:39 - Investor, Know Thyself 11:00 - Investing is Supposed to be Boring 14:02 - Waiting Until the Market is "Safe" 15:47 - Risk Knows No Age 21:06 - TOD vs POD - What's the Difference? 23:55 - What is Per Stirpes? 27:34 - Lance's Treasure Hunt 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 34:58 - The Value in Consolidation of Accounts 36:42 - SIPC Insurance and Bankruptcy 45:04 - At What Age...? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk" hhttps://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting #RiskTolerance #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning
- Yesterday
7-28-26 Semiconductor Selloff Tests Market Leadership | Before the Bell
Semiconductor stocks remain at the center of the momentum trade, but technical damage is beginning to build. With many leading chip stocks falling below their 50-day moving averages and approaching key support levels, investors are watching whether earnings can stabilize the sector—or accelerate the decline. In today's Before the Bell, we examine the growing weakness in semiconductors, why momentum trades are unwinding, how leveraged positions could amplify downside risk, and why value stocks continue to outperform during this rotation. We also discuss why diversification remains one of the best defenses when leadership changes and why maintaining disciplined risk management is more important than chasing headlines. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/_OdEbcpR78I --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting
- 2 days ago46 min
7-27-26 AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk
Big Tech continues to post record earnings, but investors may be overlooking one critical risk: AI capital spending. Lance Roberts explains why today's AI spending boom could become tomorrow's accounting headwind, how depreciation affects corporate profitability, and why investors should look beyond headline earnings. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Elon Musk, former Trillionaire & Another Iran Cease-fire 5:34 - Markets Set to Open Sharply Higher 10:59 - Shopping w Mrs. Roberts & Back to College 13:09 - AI Depreciation Risk Impact on Earnings 16:40 - Valuations on EBITDA 19:11 - Hyperscalers' 2026 Estimates 20:25 - Focusing on Free Cash Flow--why?? 23:25 - Markets Have Already Priced-in Depreciation 25:20 - How to Best Evaluated Companies 27:38 - Are US Treasuries a Safe Asset? 33:34 - What Happens if Foreign Demand for Dollars Goes to Zero? 38:00 - The Only Thing that Matters: Duration 41:03 - Change in Duration is Not a Credit Event 42:37 - Why Buy US Treasuries? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ "Are US Treasuries Still A Safe Asset?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-us-treasuries-still-a-safe-asset-copy/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday - Trump Accounts: What Parents Need to Know" https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #Investing #MarketAnalysis
- 2 days ago4 min
7-27-26 Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats | Before the Bell
Stocks are set to open sharply higher as oil prices reverse from last week's overbought extremes, reinforcing why technical analysis often provides better signals than reacting to headlines. We review how falling oil prices are influencing stocks, gold, silver, and the U.S. dollar, and why those relationships matter for investors. We also examine whether the S&P 500 can reclaim its 50-day moving average after last week's breakdown, what the current momentum sell signal suggests, and why markets remain trapped in a consolidation range. While oversold conditions could support a short-term rebound, geopolitical risks and overhead resistance continue to warrant disciplined risk management rather than emotional reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis
- 5 days ago47 min
7-24-26 Trump Accounts - What Parents Need to Know
What are Trump Accounts, and could they reshape how families save and invest for the next generation? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how Trump Accounts work, who qualifies, how they're funded, the role of employers and charitable contributions, and how these new custodial accounts compare with traditional UGMA and UTMA accounts. We also discuss investment choices, withdrawal rules, inflation considerations, and the potential addition of publicly traded securities. Beyond the mechanics, we explore the broader goal of improving financial literacy, raising financially responsible children, and avoiding the financial planning mistakes that can undermine long-term wealth. Whether you're a parent, grandparent, financial advisor, or simply curious about this new savings concept, we'll explain what matters most—and what questions still need answers. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Sleep Training & Trump Accounts 5:07 - Creating Financial Literacy Lessons? 8:51 - Evolution of Trump Accounts - How are they funded? 12:54 - Allowing publicly traded securities in Trump Accounts 14:51 - Employers' Contributions (Michael Dell donation) 15:53 - Custodial Account Aspects 18:55 - Making the first withdrawal 21:15 - E-bikes & Mopeds (Better Off Dead) 23:38 - UGMA's, UTMA's vs Trump Accounts 25:26 - The choices in Trump Accounts? 28:09 - Indexing for Inflation? 29:41 - The process & custodial choices 32:03 - The Charitable Donation angle 33:24 - The Financial Education Milestones with Trump Account funds 38:26 - Raising Financially Viable Children 40:43 - Financial Planning Minefields 43:38 - Final Thoughts on Trump Accounts Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Eye Earnings as Oil Lifts Yields" https://youtu.be/rWpYjR1_Cxs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot" https://youtube.com/live/-ZZA_xtFZGg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpAccounts #FinancialPlanning #FinancialLiteracy #Investing #RetirementPlanning
- 6 days ago47 min
7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders?
SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks
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