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by Thomas Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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- 3 days ago1h 13m
John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433
John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.00:00 Meet John Costella00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus01:10 Sally Challenges Belief03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point04:34 Climategate Emails Leak05:53 Publishing The Email Archive07:54 Talks And Printed Book09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards16:02 How Long The Book Took17:48 Climate Science Complexity22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry31:04 Small Core Group Problem32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals38:27 Data and Code Transparency39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse43:19 Models and Feedback Loops46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Linkshttps://johncostella.com/https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdfClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 6 days ago1h 12m
Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432
Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.00:00 Steve Returns and Topic00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere07:50 Evidence and Correlations13:28 New Solar Oscillations16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns42:14 Climate Impact Summary43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends59:12 Long Records and Big Claims01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols01:11:39 Closing RemarksStephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 1 weeks ago45 min
Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431
Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans.00:00 Why This Rebuttal01:23 Berry Claims Overview03:16 New Radiocarbon Data05:19 Lie One Citation Record07:33 Lie Two Not Identical10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed12:34 Why Skip Berry 202313:16 Residence vs Relaxation15:57 Bridge Equation Results17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern18:29 Independent Checks and Implications21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter28:19 Ethics And Accusations29:27 Data Driven Challenge31:08 CO2 Coalition Split33:32 Math Not Debate36:55 Ugly Email Wars40:01 Science Over Ego42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers43:22 Passing The Torch45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbyehttps://x.com/cohlerhttps://papers.jcohler.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 1 weeks ago1h 11m
Eric Huxter: “Metrology vs Meteorology” #430
Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025).00:00 Meet Eric Huxter02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality05:55 UK Stations And Siting08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima38:00 On The Hour Mystery39:56 Step Change Since 199043:13 Microclimate Case Studies48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Followhttps://x.com/EricHuxterhttps://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 2 weeks ago59 min
Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429
Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.00:00 Meet Ed Berry00:53 From Clouds to Climate01:49 Why Consensus Fails03:11 Scientific Method Basics05:16 Three Climate Assumptions06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data12:48 Flows and Human Share14:11 Building a Carbon Model16:26 E-Time and Linearity19:40 Deriving Balance Levels21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split27:21 What 420 ppm Implies27:58 Systems Model Math29:29 Partitioning Human CO231:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction34:24 Courtney Endorsement35:45 Delta 14C Evidence39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve42:09 Temperature Leads CO244:21 Proofs Summary48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup50:51 WEF Influence Claims52:11 DOE Report Problem53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique56:48 Group Positions Wrap57:48 Q&A And Closinghttps://edberry.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago54 min
Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428
Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria.00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson00:27 Writing Happer Biography01:45 Happer Science Legacy02:42 Climate Views Adaptation03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset06:04 Princeton Controversy07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories09:18 Childhood and Formation10:58 Standing Up for Science13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma16:38 Outsiders and Discovery21:15 Curiosity and Measuring23:25 CO2 Politics and Money24:45 Book Release and Coalition25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile30:10 Working Life at Princeton31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy37:29 Skepticism After COVID41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes44:24 Kindness Over Division48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI54:04 Wrap Up and ThanksWill Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago1h 14m
Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427
Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.00:00 New Paper Claim01:29 Three Inputs Setup03:25 Isotope Signatures 10106:05 Keeling Relation Explained10:17 Datasets And Intercepts13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser37:38 Accounting vs Causation39:23 Feynman on Conservation40:37 What Proves Causality41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads46:25 Molecules Not Labeled48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy53:41 Retention and Cycle Time56:02 Harassment and Resignation01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact01:13:38 Wrap Up and Linkshttps://x.com/cohlerhttps://papers.jcohler.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- Sep 4, 202651 min
James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426
James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.00:00 Meet James Tooley01:03 Hyderabad Discovery03:25 Government School Reality05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis13:04 War Torn Africa Schools15:48 Five Key Features21:06 Federations And Pushback22:02 Low Cost Schools In America25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning29:46 Mississippi Trailer School33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example36:08 National Survey Findings41:45 Philanthropy And Donations43:26 Quality Assurance Debate46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns49:57 Where To Follow James50:46 Final ReflectionsThe Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgWReally Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3rhttps://x.com/james_tooleyhttps://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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About Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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